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EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Barcelona — Fenerbahce

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Model prediction for 24 November

Barcelona55%
Fenerbahce45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Barcelona are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 82:80 — 162 points in total.

Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Barcelona +0.2, Fenerbahce +2.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Barcelona — No. 6, 6–3; Fenerbahce — No. 9, 6–3.
  • Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Barcelona 2 wins, Fenerbahce 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Fenerbahce81.9–80.3
Total over 161.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 161.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Barcelona points
  • Fenerbahce points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Barcelona

  • 01.11away · Unicaja92:89
  • 30.10Valencia98:94
  • 27.10away · Bayern88:84
  • 24.10Basket Zaragoza99:81
  • 22.10away · Olimpia Milano89:81

Fenerbahce

  • 31.10away · Istanbul BB3:1
  • 29.10away · Real Madrid76:95
  • 27.10away · Valencia78:86
  • 27.10Alanya Bld3:0
  • 24.10away · Gaziantep Genclik3:2

Head to head

  • 03.02.2026Barcelona — Fenerbahce78:82
  • 23.12.2025Fenerbahce — Barcelona72:71
  • 02.04.2025Fenerbahce — Barcelona75:83
  • 17.12.2024Barcelona — Fenerbahce90:63
  • 20.03.2024Fenerbahce — Barcelona88:74

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsHapoel Tel Aviv963.6671
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBarcelona963.6671
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet963.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFenerbahce963.6671
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZalgiris Kaunas954.5562

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →