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EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Valencia — Panathinaikos

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Model prediction for 24 November

Valencia63%
Panathinaikos37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Valencia are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:86 — 175 points in total.

Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Valencia +3.3, Panathinaikos +2.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Valencia — No. 3, 6–3; Panathinaikos — No. 1, 7–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Valencia 3 wins, Panathinaikos 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Panathinaikos89.5–85.5
Total over 174.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 174.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Valencia points
  • Panathinaikos points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Valencia

  • 01.11away · MoraBanc Andorra111:79
  • 30.10away · Barcelona94:98
  • 27.10Fenerbahce86:78
  • 25.10Baskonia84:75
  • 23.10away · Paris104:93

Panathinaikos

  • 30.10away · Anadolu Efes68:83
  • 27.10Olimpia Milano80:75
  • 22.10Baskonia85:79
  • 16.10Hapoel Tel Aviv81:91
  • 13.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet72:55

Head to head

  • 13.05.2026Valencia — Panathinaikos81:64
  • 08.05.2026Panathinaikos — Valencia86:89
  • 06.05.2026Panathinaikos — Valencia87:91
  • 30.04.2026Valencia — Panathinaikos105:107 OT
  • 28.04.2026Valencia — Panathinaikos67:68

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPanathinaikos972.778—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsOlympiacos972.778—
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsValencia963.6671
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsDubai963.6671

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →