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EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Virtus Bologna

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Model prediction for 24 November

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81%
Virtus Bologna19%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:78 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +2.5, Virtus Bologna −4.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — No. 7, 6–3; Virtus Bologna — No. 15, 4–5.
  • Virtus Bologna: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 5 wins, Virtus Bologna 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Virtus Bologna88.9–78.3
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
  • Virtus Bologna points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

  • 29.10Bayern103:73
  • 27.10Maccabi Tel Aviv100:78
  • 22.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet82:85
  • 16.10Paris90:81
  • 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82

Virtus Bologna

  • 30.10Besiktas101:103
  • 28.10Zalgiris Kaunas74:91
  • 21.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv81:90
  • 16.10Baskonia86:78
  • 14.10away · Paris96:94

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Virtus Bologna — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet93:102
  • 19.12.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Virtus Bologna90:89
  • 26.03.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Virtus Bologna88:52
  • 06.12.2024Virtus Bologna — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet87:94
  • 22.03.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Virtus Bologna94:79

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBarcelona963.6671
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet963.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
14Partizan Mozzart Bet945.4443
15Virtus Bologna945.4443
16Paris936.3334

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →