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EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

BC Roma — Ulm

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Model prediction for 11 November

BC Roma50%
Ulm50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: BC Roma 50%, Ulm 50%.

The model expects a score around 92:92 — 184 points in total.

Over 183.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: BC Roma −8.4, Ulm −5.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: BC Roma — No. 23, 2–4; Ulm — No. 17, 3–3.
  • BC Roma: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): BC Roma — Ulm92.2–92.3
Total over 183.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 183.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • BC Roma points
  • Ulm points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

BC Roma

  • 03.11away · PAOK111:113
  • 27.10KK Bosna80:85
  • 20.10away · Manresa88:108
  • 13.10Balkan77:72
  • 07.10Lietkabelis92:87

Ulm

  • 03.11Bahcesehir Kol.82:96
  • 27.10away · Lietkabelis86:68
  • 21.10away · PAOK78:87
  • 14.10KK Bosna102:93
  • 07.10away · Manresa89:101

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group D

Table «Group D», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBahcesehir Kol.651.833—
2, PlayoffsPAOK642.6671
3, PlayoffsManresa532.6001.5
4, PlayoffsLietkabelis532.6001.5
5Ulm633.5002
6KK Bosna523.4002.5
7BC Roma624.3333
8Balkan505.0004.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →