EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)
Le Mans — San Pablo Burgos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 11 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Le Mans are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:81 — 167 points in total.
Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Le Mans −4.2, San Pablo Burgos −7.1 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Le Mans — No. 19, 2–3; San Pablo Burgos — No. 26, 1–4.
- Days of rest before the match: Le Mans 14, San Pablo Burgos 10.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Le Mans — San Pablo Burgos | 86.3–80.7 | |
| Total over 166.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 166.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Le Mans points
- San Pablo Burgos points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 28.10Hapoel Jerusalem83:90
- 21.10away · Cedevita Olimpija84:66
- 14.10Rostock82:70
- 07.10away · Tortona83:89
- 29.09Aris74:87
- 01.11away · Real Madrid79:90
- 28.10Rigas Zelli71:79
- 24.10away · Manresa99:81
- 21.10away · Tortona79:89
- 17.10Obradoiro CAB72:79
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group A
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Aris | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Hapoel Jerusalem | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Rigas Zelli | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 4, Playoffs | Tortona | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 5 | Le Mans | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 6 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 7 | Rostock | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4 |
| 8 | Cedevita Olimpija | 0 | 5 | .000 | 5 |
EuroCup on the same day
- Bahcesehir Kol.Lietkabelispreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —158.9
- SiauliaiTenerifepreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.1
- ArisRigas Zellipreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.1
- ChemnitzBasket Napolipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.5
- TortonaHapoel Jerusalempreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —169.7
- BC RomaUlmpreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —184.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →