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EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Chemnitz — Basket Napoli

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Model prediction for 11 November

Chemnitz57%
Basket Napoli43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Chemnitz are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The model expects a score around 85:83 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Chemnitz −1.1, Basket Napoli −0.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Chemnitz — No. 7, 4–2; Basket Napoli — No. 3, 6–0.
  • Basket Napoli: 5 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Chemnitz — Basket Napoli84.9–82.6
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Chemnitz points
  • Basket Napoli points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Chemnitz

  • 03.11away · Buducnost84:96
  • 28.10JL Bourg96:77
  • 21.10Slask Wroclaw95:67
  • 13.10away · Trento88:80
  • 07.10Neptunas93:84

Basket Napoli

  • 03.11Trento90:79
  • 28.10away · Neptunas94:85
  • 21.10Tofas105:101
  • 14.10away · Slask Wroclaw86:82
  • 06.10away · Buducnost93:75

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group C

Table «Group C», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBasket Napoli6601.000—
2, PlayoffsTofas651.8331
3, PlayoffsChemnitz642.6672
4, PlayoffsBuducnost633.5003
5Trento624.3334
6JL Bourg514.2004.5
7Slask Wroclaw514.2004.5
8Neptunas615.1675

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • Bahcesehir Kol.Lietkabelispreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —158.9
  • SiauliaiTenerifepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.1
  • ArisRigas Zellipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.1
  • TortonaHapoel Jerusalempreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —169.7
  • BC RomaUlmpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —184.5
  • Le MansSan Pablo Burgospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →