Caxias do Sul — Brasilia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Brasilia are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 69:76 — 144 points in total.
Over 144.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Caxias do Sul −6.8, Brasilia +3.8 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Caxias do Sul — No. 17, 0–5; Brasilia — No. 7, 3–2.
- Caxias do Sul: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Caxias do Sul 1 win, Brasilia 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Caxias do Sul — Brasilia | 68.6–75.9 | |
| Total over 144.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 144.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
224 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Caxias do Sul points
- Brasilia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 02.11away · Pinheiros53:91
- 31.10away · Flamengo59:77
- 29.10away · Botafogo82:84
- 21.10Minas66:78
- 18.10Cruzeiro61:72
- 02.11Botafogo76:77
- 30.10away · Minas61:100
- 28.10away · Cruzeiro89:80
- 24.10Paulistano91:73
- 23.10Corinthians Paulista104:92
Head to head
- 01.05.2026Brasilia — Caxias do Sul71:70
- 28.04.2026Caxias do Sul — Brasilia66:63
- 25.04.2026Caxias do Sul — Brasilia70:78
- 23.04.2026Brasilia — Caxias do Sul73:64
- 13.01.2026Brasilia — Caxias do Sul77:65
Table
NBB on the same day
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.6
- 9912The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —156.6
- 86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —155.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →