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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Caxias do Sul — Brasilia

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Model prediction for 7 November

Caxias do Sul28%
Brasilia72%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Brasilia are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 69:76 — 144 points in total.

Over 144.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Caxias do Sul −6.8, Brasilia +3.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Caxias do Sul — No. 17, 0–5; Brasilia — No. 7, 3–2.
  • Caxias do Sul: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Caxias do Sul 1 win, Brasilia 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Caxias do Sul — Brasilia68.6–75.9
Total over 144.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 144.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Caxias do Sul points
  • Brasilia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Caxias do Sul

  • 02.11away · Pinheiros53:91
  • 31.10away · Flamengo59:77
  • 29.10away · Botafogo82:84
  • 21.10Minas66:78
  • 18.10Cruzeiro61:72

Brasilia

  • 02.11Botafogo76:77
  • 30.10away · Minas61:100
  • 28.10away · Cruzeiro89:80
  • 24.10Paulistano91:73
  • 23.10Corinthians Paulista104:92

Head to head

  • 01.05.2026Brasilia — Caxias do Sul71:70
  • 28.04.2026Caxias do Sul — Brasilia66:63
  • 25.04.2026Caxias do Sul — Brasilia70:78
  • 23.04.2026Brasilia — Caxias do Sul73:64
  • 13.01.2026Brasilia — Caxias do Sul77:65

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, PlayoffsUnifacisa431.7501.5
7, PlayoffsBrasilia532.6002
8, PlayoffsCruzeiro532.6002
16, PlayoffsPato413.2503.5
17Caxias do Sul505.0005
18, RelegationCearense303.0004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →