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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Pinheiros — Sao Jose

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Model prediction for 7 November

Pinheiros86%
Sao Jose14%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Pinheiros are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 85:71 — 156 points in total.

Over 155.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Pinheiros +8.9, Sao Jose −1.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Pinheiros — No. 2, 4–1; Sao Jose — No. 15, 1–3.
  • Pinheiros: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pinheiros 4 wins, Sao Jose 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Pinheiros — Sao Jose84.7–70.9
Total over 155.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 155.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Pinheiros points
  • Sao Jose points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Pinheiros

  • 02.11Caxias do Sul91:53
  • 30.10away · Osasco89:74
  • 28.10Uniao Corinthians75:63
  • 23.10away · Cearense98:63
  • 20.10away · Unifacisa65:81

Sao Jose

  • 03.11Cearense96:53
  • 29.10Unifacisa83:97
  • 22.10away · Bauru68:83
  • 20.10away · Franca59:90
  • 28.04away · Mogi70:81

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Sao Jose — Pinheiros76:75
  • 24.12.2025Pinheiros — Sao Jose98:83
  • 18.03.2025Pinheiros — Sao Jose89:80
  • 18.12.2024Sao Jose — Pinheiros76:77
  • 16.01.2024Sao Jose — Pinheiros71:73

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsMinas5501.000—
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333
15, PlayoffsSao Jose413.2503.5
16, PlayoffsPato413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →