NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Cearense — Paulistano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Paulistano are clear favourites: 91% against 9% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 70:87 — 157 points in total.
Over 156.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Cearense −17.4, Paulistano +2.5 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Cearense — No. 18, 0–3; Paulistano — No. 5, 3–1.
- Cearense: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Cearense 2 wins, Paulistano 3.
- Days of rest before the match: Cearense 4, Paulistano 7.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Cearense — Paulistano | 70.0–86.6 | |
| Total over 156.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 156.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Cearense points
- Paulistano points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 03.11away · Sao Jose53:96
- 23.10Pinheiros63:98
- 21.10Osasco69:93
- 17.04away · Cruzeiro77:86
- 15.04away · Minas56:87
- 31.10Bauru83:75
- 29.10Franca65:62
- 24.10away · Brasilia73:91
- 22.10away · Pato80:74
- 10.05Pinheiros74:84
Head to head
- 20.03.2026Paulistano — Cearense91:77
- 16.12.2025Cearense — Paulistano77:100
- 07.03.2025Paulistano — Cearense84:87
- 12.11.2024Cearense — Paulistano66:49
- 10.02.2024Cearense — Paulistano51:64
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs | Flamengo | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 5, Playoffs | Paulistano | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs | Unifacisa | 3 | 1 | .750 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Caxias do Sul | 0 | 5 | .000 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Cearense | 0 | 3 | .000 | 4 |
NBB on the same day
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.6
- 86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —155.6
- 28722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —144.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 91% will not happen in roughly 9 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →