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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Cleveland Cavaliers — Dallas Mavericks

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Model prediction for 15 November

Cleveland Cavaliers62%
Dallas Mavericks38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cleveland Cavaliers are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 116:112 — 228 points in total.

Over 228.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Cleveland Cavaliers without Peyton Watson: that costs the team about 1.4 points a game.
  • Dallas Mavericks without Max Christie: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Cleveland Cavaliers — No. 12, 4–3; Dallas Mavericks — No. 14, 4–3.
  • Last 5 meetings: Cleveland Cavaliers 4 wins, Dallas Mavericks 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Cleveland Cavaliers — Dallas Mavericks116.4–112.0
Total over 228.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 228.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Cleveland Cavaliers points
  • Dallas Mavericks points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • 03.11Oklahoma City Thunder112:117
  • 01.11away · Milwaukee Bucks136:111
  • 30.10away · Atlanta Hawks111:114
  • 29.10Washington Wizards121:111
  • 27.10Minnesota Timberwolves127:125

Dallas Mavericks

  • 03.11Sacramento Kings100:115
  • 31.10Houston Rockets116:111
  • 29.10Oklahoma City Thunder120:96
  • 27.10away · Miami Heat113:109
  • 25.10San Antonio Spurs106:122

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Cleveland Cavaliers — Dallas Mavericks120:130
  • 14.03.2026Dallas Mavericks — Cleveland Cavaliers105:138
  • 02.02.2025Cleveland Cavaliers — Dallas Mavericks144:101
  • 04.01.2025Dallas Mavericks — Cleveland Cavaliers122:134
  • 28.02.2024Cleveland Cavaliers — Dallas Mavericks121:119

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceBoston Celtics752.7141.5
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceCleveland Cavaliers743.5712.5
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceToronto Raptors743.5712.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceMinnesota Timberwolves853.6252
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDallas Mavericks743.5712.5
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDenver Nuggets633.5003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →