NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Denver Nuggets are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 115:119 — 235 points in total.
Over 234.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
- New Orleans Pelicans play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: New Orleans Pelicans — No. 19, 3–4; Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3.
- New Orleans Pelicans: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: New Orleans Pelicans 0 wins, Denver Nuggets 5.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets | 115.4–119.3 | |
| Total over 234.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 234.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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Form
- 03.11away · Memphis Grizzlies135:134
- 01.11Atlanta Hawks121:99
- 30.10Sacramento Kings132:120
- 29.10Denver Nuggets91:104
- 25.10away · Denver Nuggets135:141
- 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
- 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
- 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
- 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
- 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135
Head to head
- 29.10.2026New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets91:104
- 25.10.2026Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans141:135 OT
- 14.01.2026New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets116:122
- 20.11.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Denver Nuggets118:125
- 30.10.2025Denver Nuggets — New Orleans Pelicans122:88
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Phoenix Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersDallas Maverickspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.4
- Memphis GrizzliesBrooklyn Netspreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.5
- Miami HeatDetroit Pistonspreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.1
- Minnesota TimberwolvesChicago Bullspreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —234.4
- Philadelphia 76ersIndiana Pacerspreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →