Golden State Warriors — Boston Celtics
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Boston Celtics are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.
The model expects a score around 109:113 — 222 points in total.
Over 221.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 9.2 points a game.
- Boston Celtics play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: Golden State Warriors — No. 10, 5–3; Boston Celtics — No. 8, 5–2.
- Golden State Warriors: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Golden State Warriors 1 win, Boston Celtics 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Golden State Warriors — Boston Celtics | 109.3–112.6 | |
| Total over 221.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 221.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Golden State Warriors points
- Boston Celtics points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11Phoenix Suns116:113
- 02.11Los Angeles Clippers124:112
- 31.10Los Angeles Lakers112:95
- 29.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves119:114
- 27.10away · Denver Nuggets134:114
- 03.11away · Houston Rockets93:109
- 01.11away · Orlando Magic108:97
- 31.10Chicago Bulls125:111
- 28.10Brooklyn Nets125:124
- 27.10Chicago Bulls134:99
Head to head
- 19.03.2026Boston Celtics — Golden State Warriors120:99
- 20.02.2026Golden State Warriors — Boston Celtics110:121
- 21.01.2025Golden State Warriors — Boston Celtics85:125
- 07.11.2024Boston Celtics — Golden State Warriors112:118
- 03.03.2024Boston Celtics — Golden State Warriors140:88
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Detroit Pistons | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Boston Celtics | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
NBA on the same day
- Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.3
- Chicago BullsDenver Nuggetspreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —239.8
- Utah JazzDallas Maverickspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —229.7
- Washington WizardsOrlando Magicpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —224.2
- New York KnicksIndiana Pacerspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →