Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dallas Mavericks are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.
The model expects a score around 114:116 — 230 points in total.
Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Utah Jazz without Jaren Jackson Jr.: that costs the team about 3.8 points a game.
- Dallas Mavericks without Max Christie: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
Facts
- League table: Utah Jazz — No. 28, 1–6; Dallas Mavericks — No. 14, 4–3.
- Utah Jazz: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Utah Jazz 2 wins, Dallas Mavericks 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks | 113.7–116.0 | |
| Total over 229.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 229.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Utah Jazz points
- Dallas Mavericks points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11away · San Antonio Spurs97:119
- 31.10Portland Trail Blazers90:112
- 29.10San Antonio Spurs111:117
- 27.10Memphis Grizzlies105:110
- 26.10Los Angeles Lakers123:132
- 03.11Sacramento Kings100:115
- 31.10Houston Rockets116:111
- 29.10Oklahoma City Thunder120:96
- 27.10away · Miami Heat113:109
- 25.10San Antonio Spurs106:122
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Dallas Mavericks — Utah Jazz138:120
- 16.01.2026Dallas Mavericks — Utah Jazz144:122
- 09.01.2026Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks116:114
- 16.12.2025Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks140:133 OT
- 01.12.2024Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks94:106
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 13 | Los Angeles Clippers | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 14 | Utah Jazz | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.3
- Chicago BullsDenver Nuggetspreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —239.8
- Washington WizardsOrlando Magicpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —224.2
- New York KnicksIndiana Pacerspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —222.6
- Golden State WarriorsBoston Celticspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →