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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks

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Model prediction for 23 November

Utah Jazz43%
Dallas Mavericks57%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dallas Mavericks are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The model expects a score around 114:116 — 230 points in total.

Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Utah Jazz without Jaren Jackson Jr.: that costs the team about 3.8 points a game.
  • Dallas Mavericks without Max Christie: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Utah Jazz — No. 28, 1–6; Dallas Mavericks — No. 14, 4–3.
  • Utah Jazz: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utah Jazz 2 wins, Dallas Mavericks 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks113.7–116.0
Total over 229.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 229.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Utah Jazz points
  • Dallas Mavericks points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Utah Jazz

  • 03.11away · San Antonio Spurs97:119
  • 31.10Portland Trail Blazers90:112
  • 29.10San Antonio Spurs111:117
  • 27.10Memphis Grizzlies105:110
  • 26.10Los Angeles Lakers123:132

Dallas Mavericks

  • 03.11Sacramento Kings100:115
  • 31.10Houston Rockets116:111
  • 29.10Oklahoma City Thunder120:96
  • 27.10away · Miami Heat113:109
  • 25.10San Antonio Spurs106:122

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Dallas Mavericks — Utah Jazz138:120
  • 16.01.2026Dallas Mavericks — Utah Jazz144:122
  • 09.01.2026Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks116:114
  • 16.12.2025Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks140:133 OT
  • 01.12.2024Utah Jazz — Dallas Mavericks94:106

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceMinnesota Timberwolves853.6252
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDallas Mavericks743.5712.5
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDenver Nuggets633.5003
13Los Angeles Clippers716.1435.5
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →