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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)

Houston Rockets — Utah Jazz

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Model prediction for 14 November

Houston Rockets85%
Utah Jazz15%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Houston Rockets are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 120:107 — 227 points in total.

Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Utah Jazz without Jaren Jackson Jr.: that costs the team about 3.8 points a game.
  • Utah Jazz play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.

Facts

  • League table: Houston Rockets — No. 2, 7–1; Utah Jazz — No. 28, 1–6.
  • Utah Jazz: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Houston Rockets 4 wins, Utah Jazz 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Houston Rockets — Utah Jazz120.3–106.5
Total over 226.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 226.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Houston Rockets points
  • Utah Jazz points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Houston Rockets

  • 03.11Boston Celtics109:93
  • 01.11Oklahoma City Thunder119:98
  • 31.10away · Dallas Mavericks111:116
  • 29.10away · Milwaukee Bucks132:100
  • 27.10Atlanta Hawks120:110

Utah Jazz

  • 03.11away · San Antonio Spurs97:119
  • 31.10Portland Trail Blazers90:112
  • 29.10San Antonio Spurs111:117
  • 27.10Memphis Grizzlies105:110
  • 26.10Los Angeles Lakers123:132

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026Houston Rockets — Utah Jazz140:106
  • 24.02.2026Houston Rockets — Utah Jazz125:105
  • 02.12.2025Utah Jazz — Houston Rockets133:125
  • 30.11.2025Utah Jazz — Houston Rockets101:129
  • 03.04.2025Houston Rockets — Utah Jazz143:105

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceHouston Rockets871.875—
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceMemphis Grizzlies761.8570.5
13Los Angeles Clippers716.1435.5
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →