NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
San Antonio Spurs — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 118:110 — 228 points in total.
Over 227.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- San Antonio Spurs without Tobias Harris: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 9.2 points a game.
Facts
- League table: San Antonio Spurs — No. 9, 5–2; Golden State Warriors — No. 10, 5–3.
- San Antonio Spurs: 5 wins in a row; Golden State Warriors: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: San Antonio Spurs 3 wins, Golden State Warriors 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — Golden State Warriors | 118.4–109.8 | |
| Total over 227.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 227.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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Form
- 03.11Utah Jazz119:97
- 01.11Minnesota Timberwolves121:111
- 29.10away · Utah Jazz117:111
- 28.10Sacramento Kings130:103
- 25.10away · Dallas Mavericks122:106
- 03.11Phoenix Suns116:113
- 02.11Los Angeles Clippers124:112
- 31.10Los Angeles Lakers112:95
- 29.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves119:114
- 27.10away · Denver Nuggets134:114
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Golden State Warriors — San Antonio Spurs113:127
- 12.02.2026Golden State Warriors — San Antonio Spurs113:126
- 15.11.2025San Antonio Spurs — Golden State Warriors108:109
- 13.11.2025San Antonio Spurs — Golden State Warriors120:125
- 10.04.2025Golden State Warriors — San Antonio Spurs111:114
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
NBA on the same day
- Indiana PacersNew York Knickspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.7
- Orlando MagicMilwaukee Buckspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —226.3
- Chicago BullsAtlanta Hawkspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —238.8
- Miami HeatCleveland Cavalierspreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —236.2
- New Orleans PelicansMemphis Grizzliespreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.7
- Houston RocketsUtah Jazzpreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —226.9
- Sacramento KingsPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary21792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —232.3
- Los Angeles ClippersOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →