NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Miami Heat — Cleveland Cavaliers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cleveland Cavaliers are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 115:121 — 236 points in total.
Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Cleveland Cavaliers without Peyton Watson: that costs the team about 1.4 points a game.
- Pace: Miami Heat 104.0, Cleveland Cavaliers 99.0 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Miami Heat — No. 21, 2–5; Cleveland Cavaliers — No. 12, 4–3.
- Last 5 meetings: Miami Heat 2 wins, Cleveland Cavaliers 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Cleveland Cavaliers | 115.1–121.0 | |
| Total over 235.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 235.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Miami Heat points
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Form
- 03.11away · Los Angeles Lakers117:138
- 31.10Indiana Pacers145:125
- 29.10away · Atlanta Hawks129:117
- 27.10Dallas Mavericks109:113
- 25.10away · Charlotte Hornets110:115
- 03.11Oklahoma City Thunder112:117
- 01.11away · Milwaukee Bucks136:111
- 30.10away · Atlanta Hawks111:114
- 29.10Washington Wizards121:111
- 27.10Minnesota Timberwolves127:125
Head to head
- 28.03.2026Cleveland Cavaliers — Miami Heat149:128
- 26.03.2026Cleveland Cavaliers — Miami Heat103:120
- 13.11.2025Miami Heat — Cleveland Cavaliers116:130
- 11.11.2025Miami Heat — Cleveland Cavaliers140:138 OT
- 29.04.2025Miami Heat — Cleveland Cavaliers83:138
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Boston Celtics | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Toronto Raptors | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Miami Heat | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Orlando Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Indiana PacersNew York Knickspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.7
- Orlando MagicMilwaukee Buckspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —226.3
- Chicago BullsAtlanta Hawkspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —238.8
- New Orleans PelicansMemphis Grizzliespreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.7
- Houston RocketsUtah Jazzpreliminary85151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —226.9
- San Antonio SpursGolden State Warriorspreliminary74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.3
- Sacramento KingsPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary21792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —232.3
- Los Angeles ClippersOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →