Independiente de Oliva — Racing de Chivilcoy
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
In play · estimate from before kick-off
In short
Independiente de Oliva are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 90:83 — 173 points in total.
Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Independiente de Oliva +0.7, Racing de Chivilcoy −2.9 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Independiente de Oliva — No. 8, 1–1; Racing de Chivilcoy — No. 13, 3–5.
- Racing de Chivilcoy: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Independiente de Oliva 1 win, Racing de Chivilcoy 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Independiente de Oliva — Racing de Chivilcoy | 90.2–83.0 | |
| Total over 172.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 172.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Independiente de Oliva points
- Racing de Chivilcoy points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 20.10Lanus108:93
- 09.10Ferro92:97
- 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
- 16.05Gimnasia74:66
- 14.05Gimnasia78:76
- 02.11away · Atenas94:95
- 26.10Quimsa54:68
- 24.10Boca Juniors72:80
- 16.10away · La Union74:68
- 14.10away · Obera TC84:78
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Racing de Chivilcoy — Independiente de Oliva89:84
- 18.12.2025Independiente de Oliva — Racing de Chivilcoy88:86
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Independiente de Oliva | 1 | 1 | .500 | 3 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Argentino | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 13 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 14 | Ferro | 2 | 4 | .333 | 4 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- 72281The most likely outcome came true: 175:71Final score 75:71. Model's score: —.148.2
- 41592The most likely outcome came true: 276:79Final score 76:79. Model's score: —.156.6
- 81191The most likely outcome came true: 175:57Final score 75:57. Model's score: —.165.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →