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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

Independiente de Oliva — Racing de Chivilcoy

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Model prediction for 4 November

In play · estimate from before kick-off

Independiente de Oliva73%
Racing de Chivilcoy27%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Independiente de Oliva are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:83 — 173 points in total.

Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Independiente de Oliva +0.7, Racing de Chivilcoy −2.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Independiente de Oliva — No. 8, 1–1; Racing de Chivilcoy — No. 13, 3–5.
  • Racing de Chivilcoy: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: Independiente de Oliva 1 win, Racing de Chivilcoy 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Independiente de Oliva — Racing de Chivilcoy90.2–83.0
Total over 172.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 172.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Independiente de Oliva points
  • Racing de Chivilcoy points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Independiente de Oliva

  • 20.10Lanus108:93
  • 09.10Ferro92:97
  • 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
  • 16.05Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05Gimnasia78:76

Racing de Chivilcoy

  • 02.11away · Atenas94:95
  • 26.10Quimsa54:68
  • 24.10Boca Juniors72:80
  • 16.10away · La Union74:68
  • 14.10away · Obera TC84:78

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Racing de Chivilcoy — Independiente de Oliva89:84
  • 18.12.2025Independiente de Oliva — Racing de Chivilcoy88:86

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense633.5003
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsIndependiente de Oliva211.5003
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino633.5003
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus835.3754
13Racing de Chivilcoy835.3754
14Ferro624.3334

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 75:71. Model's score: —.148.2
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 76:79. Model's score: —.156.6
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 75:57. Model's score: —.165.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →