Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)

La Union — Argentino

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Model prediction for 4 November

La Union84%
Argentino16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

La Union are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:77 — 166 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: La Union +0.0, Argentino −8.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: La Union — No. 10, 1–2; Argentino — No. 9, 2–1.
  • Last 5 meetings: La Union 5 wins, Argentino 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): La Union — Argentino88.7–76.9
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

La Union

  • 16.10Racing de Chivilcoy68:74
  • 07.10away · Platense90:86
  • 05.10away · Gimnasia86:92
  • 03.05away · Independiente de Oliva92:97
  • 01.05away · Independiente de Oliva78:83

Argentino

  • 13.10Gimnasia82:87
  • 11.10San Martin82:79
  • 01.10Ferro79:68
  • 13.05Atenas88:77
  • 10.05Atenas61:53

Head to head

  • 15.12.2025Argentino — La Union66:85
  • 25.10.2025La Union — Argentino98:80
  • 01.05.2025La Union — Argentino104:73
  • 15.12.2024Argentino — La Union71:76
  • 08.04.2024La Union — Argentino85:73

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba321.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino321.6671
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union312.3332
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense312.3332

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →