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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Indiana Pacers — Oklahoma City Thunder

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Model prediction for 24 November

Indiana Pacers38%
Oklahoma City Thunder62%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 110:114 — 225 points in total.

Over 224.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Indiana Pacers without Tyrese Haliburton: that costs the team about 8.5 points a game.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace: that costs the team about 9.6 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Indiana Pacers — No. 23, 2–6; Oklahoma City Thunder — No. 7, 5–2.
  • Indiana Pacers: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Indiana Pacers 2 wins, Oklahoma City Thunder 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Indiana Pacers — Oklahoma City Thunder110.4–114.4
Total over 224.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 224.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Indiana Pacers points
  • Oklahoma City Thunder points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Indiana Pacers

  • 03.11Atlanta Hawks104:108
  • 02.11Brooklyn Nets90:98
  • 31.10away · Miami Heat125:145
  • 29.10Philadelphia 76ers109:114
  • 27.10away · Milwaukee Bucks102:110

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 03.11away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:112
  • 01.11away · Houston Rockets98:119
  • 29.10away · Dallas Mavericks96:120
  • 27.10Phoenix Suns125:114
  • 26.10Los Angeles Clippers108:101

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Indiana Pacers114:117
  • 24.10.2025Indiana Pacers — Oklahoma City Thunder135:141 OT
  • 23.06.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Indiana Pacers103:91
  • 20.06.2025Indiana Pacers — Oklahoma City Thunder108:91
  • 17.06.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Indiana Pacers120:109

Full record: 21 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
11Orlando Magic725.2864.5
12Indiana Pacers826.2505
13Chicago Bulls716.1435.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceLos Angeles Lakers862.7501
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceSan Antonio Spurs752.7141.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →