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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

New Orleans Pelicans — Phoenix Suns

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Model prediction for 24 November

New Orleans Pelicans55%
Phoenix Suns45%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New Orleans Pelicans are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 116:115 — 231 point in total.

Over 230.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
  • New Orleans Pelicans play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.

Facts

  • League table: New Orleans Pelicans — No. 19, 3–4; Phoenix Suns — No. 24, 1–4.
  • New Orleans Pelicans: 3 wins in a row; Phoenix Suns: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: New Orleans Pelicans 0 wins, Phoenix Suns 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): New Orleans Pelicans — Phoenix Suns116.4–114.7
Total over 230.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 230.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Phoenix Suns points
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Form

New Orleans Pelicans

  • 03.11away · Memphis Grizzlies135:134
  • 01.11Atlanta Hawks121:99
  • 30.10Sacramento Kings132:120
  • 29.10Denver Nuggets91:104
  • 25.10away · Denver Nuggets135:141

Phoenix Suns

  • 03.11away · Golden State Warriors113:116
  • 31.10Denver Nuggets120:127
  • 27.10away · Oklahoma City Thunder114:125
  • 25.10Golden State Warriors131:122
  • 22.10away · Portland Trail Blazers83:124

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Phoenix Suns — New Orleans Pelicans118:116
  • 28.12.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Phoenix Suns114:123
  • 27.12.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Phoenix Suns108:115
  • 11.11.2025Phoenix Suns — New Orleans Pelicans121:98
  • 01.03.2025Phoenix Suns — New Orleans Pelicans125:108

Full record: 29 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDenver Nuggets633.5003
11New Orleans Pelicans734.4293.5
12Phoenix Suns514.2004.5
13Los Angeles Clippers716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →