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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Los Angeles Lakers — Utah Jazz

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Model prediction for 24 November

Los Angeles Lakers84%
Utah Jazz16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Los Angeles Lakers are clear favourites: 84% against 16% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 124:111 — 235 points in total.

Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Utah Jazz without Jaren Jackson Jr.: that costs the team about 3.8 points a game.
  • Utah Jazz play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Facts

  • League table: Los Angeles Lakers — No. 6, 6–2; Utah Jazz — No. 28, 1–6.
  • Utah Jazz: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Los Angeles Lakers 5 wins, Utah Jazz 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Los Angeles Lakers — Utah Jazz124.4–110.9
Total over 235.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 235.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Los Angeles Lakers points
  • Utah Jazz points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Los Angeles Lakers

  • 03.11Miami Heat138:117
  • 02.11Toronto Raptors131:125
  • 31.10away · Golden State Warriors95:112
  • 29.10away · Los Angeles Clippers103:87
  • 28.10Portland Trail Blazers129:136

Utah Jazz

  • 03.11away · San Antonio Spurs97:119
  • 31.10Portland Trail Blazers90:112
  • 29.10San Antonio Spurs111:117
  • 27.10Memphis Grizzlies105:110
  • 26.10Los Angeles Lakers123:132

Head to head

  • 26.10.2026Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers123:132
  • 13.04.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Utah Jazz131:107
  • 19.12.2025Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers135:143
  • 24.11.2025Utah Jazz — Los Angeles Lakers106:108
  • 19.11.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Utah Jazz140:126

Full record: 25 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferencePortland Trail Blazers651.8331
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceLos Angeles Lakers862.7501
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5
13Los Angeles Clippers716.1435.5
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →