Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 14 November, 23:00 (UTC+3)

Joventut Badalona — Basket Zaragoza

Model prediction for 14 November

Joventut Badalona70%

Basket Zaragoza30%

Model estimate at 23:02 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Joventut Badalona are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 93:86 — 179 points in total.

Over 178.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Joventut Badalona +1.9, Basket Zaragoza −0.9 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Joventut Badalona — No. 14, 2–4; Basket Zaragoza — No. 7, 4–2.
Last 5 meetings: Joventut Badalona 4 wins, Basket Zaragoza 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Joventut Badalona — Basket Zaragoza		92.6–86.3
Total over 178.5 (incl. OT)		49%
Total under 178.5 (incl. OT)		51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Joventut Badalona points
Basket Zaragoza points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Joventut Badalona

01.11Bilbao78:81
25.10away · Basquet Girona87:101
18.10Barcelona113:89
14.10MoraBanc Andorra96:75
11.10away · Baskonia73:93

Basket Zaragoza

31.10Basquet Girona107:78
24.10away · Barcelona81:99
18.10Forca Lleida109:98
10.10away · Leyma Coruna92:71
04.10Valencia82:97

Head to head

14.02.2026Basket Zaragoza — Joventut Badalona67:79
12.10.2025Joventut Badalona — Basket Zaragoza89:86
24.05.2025Joventut Badalona — Basket Zaragoza89:79
13.10.2024Basket Zaragoza — Joventut Badalona96:95 OT
13.01.2024Joventut Badalona — Basket Zaragoza95:84

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
6, Playoffs	Bilbao	6	4	2	.667	2
7, Playoffs	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	.667	2
8, Playoffs	Baskonia	6	4	2	.667	2
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	.333	4
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	.333	4
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	.333	4

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

20:00
BreoganSan Pablo Burgospreliminary
6535
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —196.7
21:30
MoraBanc AndorraTenerifepreliminary
2773
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —180.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →