Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 14 November, 21:30 (UTC+3)

MoraBanc Andorra — Tenerife

Model prediction for 14 November

MoraBanc Andorra27%

Tenerife73%

Model estimate at 23:02 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tenerife are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:94 — 180 points in total.

Over 179.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: MoraBanc Andorra −6.8, Tenerife +4.2 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: MoraBanc Andorra — No. 16, 1–5; Tenerife — No. 4, 4–2.
Last 5 meetings: MoraBanc Andorra 1 win, Tenerife 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): MoraBanc Andorra — Tenerife		86.3–93.7
Total over 179.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 179.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
MoraBanc Andorra points
Tenerife points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

MoraBanc Andorra

01.11Valencia79:111
25.10away · Bilbao76:88
17.10Breogan108:102
14.10away · Joventut Badalona75:96
10.10away · Unicaja84:92

Tenerife

31.10away · Leyma Coruna89:93
28.10Venezia82:80
25.10Obradoiro CAB106:76
21.10away · Frankfurt104:94
18.10Baskonia82:77

Head to head

02.05.2026Tenerife — MoraBanc Andorra89:90
11.10.2025MoraBanc Andorra — Tenerife64:96
23.03.2025Tenerife — MoraBanc Andorra96:84
28.12.2024MoraBanc Andorra — Tenerife83:92
16.03.2024MoraBanc Andorra — Tenerife66:79

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
3, Playoffs	Valencia	6	4	2	.667	2
4, Playoffs	Tenerife	6	4	2	.667	2
5, Playoffs	Breogan	6	4	2	.667	2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	.333	4
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	.167	5
17, Relegation	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	.167	5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

20:00
BreoganSan Pablo Burgospreliminary
6535
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —196.7
23:00
Joventut BadalonaBasket Zaragozapreliminary
7030
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —178.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →