EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Olimpia Milano — Zalgiris Kaunas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zalgiris Kaunas are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 85:89 — 174 points in total.
Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Olimpia Milano −5.7, Zalgiris Kaunas +1.3 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Olimpia Milano — No. 20, 1–8; Zalgiris Kaunas — No. 10, 5–4.
- Olimpia Milano: 5 defeats in a row; Zalgiris Kaunas: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Olimpia Milano 2 wins, Zalgiris Kaunas 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Olimpia Milano — Zalgiris Kaunas | 85.3–88.9 | |
| Total over 173.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 173.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Olimpia Milano points
- Zalgiris Kaunas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 30.10away · Olympiacos78:84
- 27.10away · Panathinaikos75:80
- 22.10Barcelona81:89
- 15.10Dubai97:101
- 13.10Real Madrid89:98
- 30.10Partizan Mozzart Bet87:80
- 28.10away · Virtus Bologna91:74
- 23.10Lyon-Villeurbanne105:85
- 16.10Anadolu Efes70:85
- 13.10away · Fenerbahce80:99
Head to head
- 22.01.2026Olimpia Milano — Zalgiris Kaunas82:86
- 16.10.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Olimpia Milano78:89
- 06.02.2025Zalgiris Kaunas — Olimpia Milano87:89
- 17.10.2024Olimpia Milano — Zalgiris Kaunas82:85
- 28.03.2024Zalgiris Kaunas — Olimpia Milano87:73
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Zalgiris Kaunas | 5 | 4 | .556 | 2 |
| 11 | Anadolu Efes | 4 | 5 | .444 | 3 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 8 | .111 | 6 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 8 | .111 | 6 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —187.1
- OlympiacosDubaipreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.0
- ValenciaBayernpreliminary87131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —184.8
- Real MadridCrvena Zvezda Meridianbetpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →