EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Valencia — Bayern
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 87% against 13% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 99:86 — 185 points in total.
Over 184.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Valencia +3.3, Bayern −6.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Valencia — No. 3, 6–3; Bayern — No. 18, 2–7.
- Bayern: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Valencia 3 wins, Bayern 2.
- Days of rest before the match: Valencia 11, Bayern 14.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Bayern | 99.0–85.8 | |
| Total over 184.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 184.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Valencia points
- Bayern points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 01.11away · MoraBanc Andorra111:79
- 30.10away · Barcelona94:98
- 27.10Fenerbahce86:78
- 25.10Baskonia84:75
- 23.10away · Paris104:93
- 29.10away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet73:103
- 27.10Barcelona84:88
- 22.10Dubai91:107
- 16.10away · Besiktas87:95
- 14.10away · Anadolu Efes101:93
Head to head
- 22.01.2026Bayern — Valencia93:89
- 25.11.2025Valencia — Bayern90:64
- 20.03.2024Valencia — Bayern70:68
- 28.12.2023Bayern — Valencia85:84
- 31.01.2023Valencia — Bayern82:73
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 7 | 2 | .778 | — |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Dubai | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1 |
| 17 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 7 | .222 | 5 |
| 18 | Bayern | 2 | 7 | .222 | 5 |
| 19 | Baskonia | 1 | 8 | .111 | 6 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Tel Avivpreliminary34662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —187.1
- OlympiacosDubaipreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.0
- Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunaspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —174.2
- Real MadridCrvena Zvezda Meridianbetpreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 87% will not happen in roughly 13 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →