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EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)

Real Madrid — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

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Model prediction for 12 November

Real Madrid69%
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Real Madrid are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:84 — 174 points in total.

Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Real Madrid +5.1, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +2.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Real Madrid — No. 8, 6–3; Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — No. 7, 6–3.
  • Real Madrid: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Real Madrid 4 wins, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 1.
  • Days of rest before the match: Real Madrid 11, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 14.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Real Madrid — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet90.1–84.2
Total over 173.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 173.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Real Madrid points
  • Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Real Madrid

  • 01.11San Pablo Burgos90:79
  • 29.10Fenerbahce95:76
  • 27.10away · Baskonia104:86
  • 25.10away · Forca Lleida122:86
  • 22.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv113:99

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

  • 29.10Bayern103:73
  • 27.10Maccabi Tel Aviv100:78
  • 22.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet82:85
  • 16.10Paris90:81
  • 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82

Head to head

  • 16.04.2026Real Madrid — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet103:82
  • 17.10.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Real Madrid90:75
  • 28.03.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Real Madrid72:78
  • 24.10.2024Real Madrid — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet95:72
  • 29.03.2024Real Madrid — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet101:94

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBarcelona963.6671
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet963.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsReal Madrid963.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFenerbahce963.6671

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →