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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Osasco — Minas

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Model prediction for 20 November

Osasco10%
Minas90%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Minas are clear favourites: 90% against 10% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 75:92 — 167 points in total.

Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Osasco −9.0, Minas +10.6 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Osasco — No. 14, 1–2; Minas — No. 1, 5–0.
  • Minas: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: Osasco 0 wins, Minas 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Osasco — Minas75.1–91.5
Total over 166.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 166.5 (incl. OT)50%

231 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Osasco points
  • Minas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Osasco

  • 30.10Pinheiros74:89
  • 21.10away · Cearense93:69
  • 18.10away · Unifacisa70:96
  • 18.04away · Mogi76:73
  • 11.04Pato77:68

Minas

  • 04.11away · Franca87:76
  • 04.11away · Goias3:0
  • 30.10Brasilia100:61
  • 29.10Sesi3:1
  • 28.10Pato86:65

Head to head

  • 22.03.2026Osasco — Minas66:78
  • 16.11.2025Minas — Osasco86:81

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsMinas5501.000—
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333
15, PlayoffsSao Jose413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • UnifacisaFlamengopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.2
  • PatoCorinthians Paulistapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —157.9
  • PinheirosCruzeiropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —157.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 90% will not happen in roughly 10 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →