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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Pinheiros — Cruzeiro

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Model prediction for 20 November

Pinheiros89%
Cruzeiro11%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pinheiros are clear favourites: 89% against 11% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:71 — 157 points in total.

Over 156.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Pinheiros +8.9, Cruzeiro −3.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Pinheiros — No. 2, 4–1; Cruzeiro — No. 8, 3–2.
  • Pinheiros: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: Pinheiros 2 wins, Cruzeiro 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Pinheiros — Cruzeiro86.3–71.0
Total over 156.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 156.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Pinheiros points
  • Cruzeiro points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Pinheiros

  • 02.11Caxias do Sul91:53
  • 30.10away · Osasco89:74
  • 28.10Uniao Corinthians75:63
  • 23.10away · Cearense98:63
  • 20.10away · Unifacisa65:81

Cruzeiro

  • 04.11away · Bauru78:74
  • 30.10Pato76:68
  • 28.10Brasilia80:89
  • 20.10away · Uniao Corinthians74:83
  • 18.10away · Caxias do Sul72:61

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Pinheiros — Cruzeiro101:79
  • 23.11.2025Cruzeiro — Pinheiros89:102

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsMinas5501.000—
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5
7, PlayoffsBrasilia532.6002
8, PlayoffsCruzeiro532.6002
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • UnifacisaFlamengopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.2
  • PatoCorinthians Paulistapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —157.9
  • OsascoMinaspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —166.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →