NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)
Pato — Bauru
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 10 November
In short
Bauru are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 74:78 — 151 point in total.
Over 150.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Pato −7.3, Bauru −0.1 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Pato — No. 16, 1–3; Bauru — No. 11, 2–3.
- Bauru: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Pato 0 wins, Bauru 5.
- Days of rest before the match: Pato 11, Bauru 6.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Pato — Bauru | 73.6–77.6 | |
| Total over 150.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 150.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Pato points
- Bauru points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.10away · Cruzeiro68:76
- 28.10away · Minas65:86
- 25.10Botafogo89:88
- 22.10Paulistano74:80
- 18.04away · Paulistano71:92
- 04.11Cruzeiro74:78
- 31.10away · Paulistano75:83
- 24.10Mogi61:79
- 22.10Sao Jose83:68
- 18.10away · Flamengo82:81
Head to head
- 25.03.2026Bauru — Pato94:70
- 16.12.2025Pato — Bauru61:69
- 06.02.2025Pato — Bauru91:94
- 14.12.2024Bauru — Pato97:91
- 27.04.2024Bauru — Pato71:62
Table
NBB on the same day
- 6942The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —163.6
- 39612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —155.0
- 72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —147.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →