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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Uniao Corinthians — Brasilia

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Model prediction for 10 November

Uniao Corinthians39%
Brasilia61%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Brasilia are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 76:79 — 155 points in total.

Over 154.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Uniao Corinthians −2.9, Brasilia +3.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Uniao Corinthians — No. 9, 2–3; Brasilia — No. 7, 3–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Uniao Corinthians 2 wins, Brasilia 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Uniao Corinthians — Brasilia75.8–79.2
Total over 154.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 154.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Brasilia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.11away · Flamengo65:83
  • 31.10away · Botafogo87:80
  • 28.10away · Pinheiros63:75
  • 23.10Minas71:88
  • 20.10Cruzeiro83:74

Brasilia

  • 02.11Botafogo76:77
  • 30.10away · Minas61:100
  • 28.10away · Cruzeiro89:80
  • 24.10Paulistano91:73
  • 23.10Corinthians Paulista104:92

Head to head

  • 04.02.2026Brasilia — Uniao Corinthians89:64
  • 08.11.2025Uniao Corinthians — Brasilia95:88 OT
  • 15.02.2025Brasilia — Uniao Corinthians95:71
  • 17.11.2024Uniao Corinthians — Brasilia76:78
  • 08.02.2024Uniao Corinthians — Brasilia73:59

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, PlayoffsUnifacisa431.7501.5
7, PlayoffsBrasilia532.6002
8, PlayoffsCruzeiro532.6002
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
10, PlayoffsFranca523.4003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —163.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —151.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —147.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →