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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Pinheiros — Mogi

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Model prediction for 10 November

Pinheiros72%
Mogi28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Pinheiros are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 77:70 — 147 points in total.

Over 146.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Pinheiros +9.0, Mogi +4.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Pinheiros — No. 2, 4–1; Mogi — No. 3, 3–1.
  • Pinheiros: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pinheiros 5 wins, Mogi 0.
  • Days of rest before the match: Pinheiros 8, Mogi 14.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Pinheiros — Mogi77.2–69.8
Total over 146.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 146.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Pinheiros points
  • Mogi points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Pinheiros

  • 02.11Caxias do Sul91:53
  • 30.10away · Osasco89:74
  • 28.10Uniao Corinthians75:63
  • 23.10away · Cearense98:63
  • 20.10away · Unifacisa65:81

Mogi

  • 27.10Unifacisa78:70
  • 24.10away · Bauru79:61
  • 22.10away · Franca74:90
  • 17.10Corinthians Paulista84:73
  • 16.05away · Franca77:78

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026Mogi — Pinheiros73:80
  • 11.12.2025Pinheiros — Mogi84:69
  • 13.03.2025Pinheiros — Mogi91:77
  • 03.12.2024Mogi — Pinheiros53:73
  • 10.01.2024Mogi — Pinheiros75:76

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsMinas5501.000—
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5
4, PlayoffsFlamengo431.7501.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →