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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Sacramento Kings — San Antonio Spurs

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Model prediction for 24 November

Sacramento Kings15%
San Antonio Spurs85%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 108:122 — 229 points in total.

Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray: that costs the team about 3.0 points a game.
  • San Antonio Spurs without Tobias Harris: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Sacramento Kings — No. 30, 1–6; San Antonio Spurs — No. 9, 5–2.
  • San Antonio Spurs: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Kings 1 win, San Antonio Spurs 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sacramento Kings — San Antonio Spurs107.7–121.6
Total over 229.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 229.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Sacramento Kings points
  • San Antonio Spurs points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Sacramento Kings

  • 03.11away · Dallas Mavericks115:100
  • 01.11away · Memphis Grizzlies105:136
  • 30.10away · New Orleans Pelicans120:132
  • 28.10away · San Antonio Spurs103:130
  • 26.10Memphis Grizzlies112:123

San Antonio Spurs

  • 03.11Utah Jazz119:97
  • 01.11Minnesota Timberwolves121:111
  • 29.10away · Utah Jazz117:111
  • 28.10Sacramento Kings130:103
  • 25.10away · Dallas Mavericks122:106

Head to head

  • 28.10.2026San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings130:103
  • 18.03.2026Sacramento Kings — San Antonio Spurs104:132
  • 22.02.2026San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings139:122
  • 17.11.2025San Antonio Spurs — Sacramento Kings123:110
  • 08.03.2025Sacramento Kings — San Antonio Spurs127:109

Full record: 24 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceSan Antonio Spurs752.7141.5
7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceGolden State Warriors853.6252
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →