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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)

San Lorenzo — San Martin

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Model prediction for 9 November

San Lorenzo64%
San Martin36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

San Lorenzo are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:79 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Lorenzo −4.5, San Martin −5.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: San Lorenzo — No. 16, 1–3; San Martin — No. 18, 0–6.
  • San Lorenzo: 3 defeats in a row; San Martin: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Lorenzo 2 wins, San Martin 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Lorenzo — San Martin82.8–78.7
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

San Lorenzo

  • 29.10Platense58:80
  • 18.10Obera TC73:78
  • 17.10Penarol85:92
  • 09.10Gimnasia89:73
  • 18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76

San Martin

  • 30.10away · Lanus72:81
  • 28.10away · Penarol76:95
  • 21.10Olimpico86:106
  • 11.10away · Argentino79:82
  • 09.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy123:126

Head to head

  • 09.03.2026San Martin — San Lorenzo77:72
  • 13.10.2025San Lorenzo — San Martin63:81
  • 15.04.2025San Martin — San Lorenzo64:73
  • 28.01.2025San Lorenzo — San Martin59:73
  • 13.04.2024San Lorenzo — San Martin87:76

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
15Regatas413.2504
16San Lorenzo413.2504
17, Relegation play-offObera TC514.2004.5
18, Relegation play-offSan Martin606.0006

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →