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EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)

Trento — Neptunas

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Model prediction for 18 November

Trento63%
Neptunas37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trento are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 91:86 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Trento −6.4, Neptunas −8.1 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Trento — No. 24, 2–4; Neptunas — No. 30, 1–5.
  • Neptunas: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Trento — Neptunas90.6–86.2
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Trento points
  • Neptunas points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Trento

  • 03.11away · Basket Napoli79:90
  • 27.10Buducnost94:92
  • 21.10away · JL Bourg79:90
  • 13.10Chemnitz80:88
  • 06.10Slask Wroclaw81:94

Neptunas

  • 03.11away · Tofas79:94
  • 28.10Basket Napoli85:94
  • 20.10away · Buducnost89:104
  • 13.10JL Bourg93:89
  • 07.10away · Chemnitz84:93

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Neptunas — Trento73:76

Table

Group C

Table «Group C», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBasket Napoli6601.000—
2, PlayoffsTofas651.8331
3, PlayoffsChemnitz642.6672
4, PlayoffsBuducnost633.5003
5Trento624.3334
6JL Bourg514.2004.5
7Slask Wroclaw514.2004.5
8Neptunas615.1675

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • TortonaRigas Zellipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.8
  • Cluj-NapocaMaxima Romapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.0
  • Cedevita OlimpijaSan Pablo Burgospreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.3
  • ArisLe Manspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.7
  • BuducnostSlask Wroclawpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —176.9
  • ChemnitzTofaspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
  • FrankfurtVeneziapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —174.1
  • JL BourgBasket Napolipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →