Brasileirao: matchday 31 predictions
17–20 October · 10 matches · season 2026
Brasileirao matchday 31: 10 matches, 17–20 October. The model expects 2.7 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 7 matches, an away win in 2 and a draw in 1. In matchday 30 the most likely outcome came true in 8 of 10 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedBotafogo — ChapecoenseBotafogo 70% to win; most likely score 1:0; 3.0 goals on average; over 2.5: 58%
- Closest match · Top-of-the-table clashAthletico Paranaense — Palmeiras37% v 34%, draw 29%; 3rd v 2nd in the table
- Possible upsetFluminense — SantosSantos 19% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Flamengo lead with 64 points from 30 matches; Palmeiras are second, 1 point behind. The leader’s game this round: Bahia — Flamengo, 39% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Flamengo 66%, Palmeiras 34%.
In the relegation zone: Corinthians, Grêmio, Remo and Chapecoense; they are up to 14 points behind 16th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Chapecoense, 100% to go down.
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 4229281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
Sunday, 18 October
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4528261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
Monday, 19 October
- 3329392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 333038XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.5
Tuesday, 20 October
- 5726181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Brasileirao: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →