Brazilian Serie A: power rankings
Season 2026 · updated 14 October 2026
The strongest side by the model is Flamengo: +0.65 goals per game against an average opponent. Biggest climber of the week: Cruzeiro (+2). Vasco da Gama are 14th in the table but 7th by strength — better than their points.
- Best attackFlamengo1.47 goals per game
- Best defencePalmeiras0.78 conceded per game
- Climber of the weekCruzeiro▲2 · now 8
- Faller of the weekAtlético-MG▼1 · now 9
Ranking
Rating — goal difference per game against an average opponent at a neutral venue. ▲▼ — places gained or lost in a week.
| # | Team | Rating | Att. | Def. | Table | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | +0.65 | 1.47 | 0.82 | 1 | WDWWW | 19 October · at Bahia (5) |
| 2 | Palmeiras | +0.42 | 1.21 | 0.78 | 2 | WWDWD | 18 October · at Athletico Paranaense (4) |
| 3 | Fluminense | +0.24 | 1.28 | 1.04 | 4 | LWWLW | 18 October · Santos (11) |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | +0.22 | 1.24 | 1.01 | 3 | WDWDL | 18 October · Palmeiras (2) |
| 5 | Bahia | +0.18 | 1.28 | 1.10 | 5 | WLLWW | 19 October · Flamengo (1) |
| 6 | RB Bragantino | +0.17 | 1.19 | 1.02 | 9 | WDLLD | 19 October · at Remo (19) |
| 7 | Vasco da Gama | +0.13 | 1.19 | 1.06 | 14 | DWWWL | 18 October · at São Paulo (10) |
| 8▲2 | Cruzeiro | +0.11 | 1.27 | 1.16 | 6 | LWWLW | 18 October · at Grêmio (18) |
| 9▼1 | Atlético-MG | +0.10 | 1.15 | 1.04 | 7 | WDWDW | 18 October · Coritiba (17) |
| 10▼1 | São Paulo | +0.06 | 1.08 | 1.01 | 10 | WLLWL | 18 October · Vasco da Gama (7) |
| 11▲1 | Santos | +0.04 | 1.22 | 1.17 | 8 | LDWWW | 18 October · at Fluminense (3) |
| 12▼1 | Internacional | +0.04 | 1.12 | 1.08 | 16 | DWLWL | 17 October · at Mirassol (15) |
| 13 | Corinthians | −0.09 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 17 | LLLLL | 20 October · Vitória (16) |
| 14 | Botafogo | −0.11 | 1.15 | 1.26 | 12 | DLLWD | 18 October · Chapecoense (20) |
| 15 | Mirassol | −0.19 | 1.01 | 1.20 | 15 | LDWDW | 17 October · Internacional (12) |
| 16 | Vitória | −0.28 | 0.92 | 1.20 | 13 | LWLDW | 20 October · at Corinthians (13) |
| 17 | Coritiba | −0.35 | 0.98 | 1.33 | 11 | DLLDL | 18 October · at Atlético-MG (9) |
| 18▲1 | Grêmio | −0.37 | 0.89 | 1.26 | 18 | DDDLL | 18 October · Cruzeiro (8) |
| 19▼1 | Remo | −0.39 | 0.92 | 1.31 | 19 | DDLLL | 19 October · RB Bragantino (6) |
| 20 | Chapecoense | −0.62 | 0.93 | 1.55 | 20 | LLDLW | 18 October · at Botafogo (14) |
How it is calculated
Only this season counts. The model rates every team’s attack and defence from this season’s matches — by expected goals (xG, the quality of chances) and actual goals, 60 to 40 — taking into account how strong the opponents were. The rating is the goal difference per game it expects against an average team of the league at a neutral venue. Every team starts with three games of league-average form, so a couple of lucky results early on do not make a leader.
Brasileirao: matches and table →
Brasileirao: season forecast →