Brazilian Serie A, round 31 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Mirassol — Internacional
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Mirassol are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mirassol — Internacional What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Mirassol not to lose | 72% | |
| Internacional not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mirassol
- Mirassol goals
- Internacional goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Bahia0:1
- 08.10away · RB Bragantino1:1
- 19.09Botafogo2:0
- 13.09Vitória2:2
- 06.09away · Coritiba2:1
- 11.10away · Grêmio1:1
- 08.10Corinthians2:1
- 20.09away · São Paulo0:1
- 12.09away · Chapecoense2:1
- 06.09Santos2:3
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Internacional — Mirassol1:2
- 16.10.2025Mirassol — Internacional3:1
- 19.05.2025Internacional — Mirassol1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 29 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | -5 | 32 |
| 17, Relegation | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →