Eliteserien: matchday 24 predictions
17–18 October · 8 matches · season 2026
Eliteserien matchday 24: 8 matches, 17–18 October. The model expects 3.4 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 6 matches, an away win in 2. In matchday 23 the most likely outcome came true in 4 of 8 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedHamarkameratene — Bodø/GlimtBodø/Glimt 76% to win; most likely score 1:2; 3.7 goals on average; over 2.5: 72%
- Closest matchSarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg37% v 36%, draw 27%
- Possible upsetTromsø — KFUMKFUM 14% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Bodø/Glimt lead with 53 points from 22 matches; Viking are second, level on points. The leader’s game this round: Hamarkameratene — Bodø/Glimt, 76% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Bodø/Glimt 66%, Viking 34%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: Aalesund, Kristiansund and Start; they are 2 to 7 points behind 13th place. A game at the bottom: Kristiansund — Aalesund. Most at risk by the season forecast: Start, 85% to go down.
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- 4127321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.6
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
Sunday, 18 October
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 7018121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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