Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Kristiansund — Aalesund
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Kristiansund are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kristiansund — Aalesund What is xG? | 1.9–1.7 | |
| Kristiansund not to lose | 68% | |
| Aalesund not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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- Handicap Kristiansund
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- Aalesund goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Bodø/Glimt1:3
- 19.09Rosenborg1:3
- 13.09away · Viking1:8
- 06.09Tromsø2:0
- 30.08away · Hamarkameratene2:2
- 11.10Sarpsborg 082:4
- 19.09away · Molde2:1
- 13.09away · KFUM1:2
- 04.09Start2:0
- 30.08away · Viking1:2
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Aalesund — Kristiansund1:1
- 30.10.2022Kristiansund — Aalesund4:0
- 03.04.2022Aalesund — Kristiansund1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Vålerenga | 22 | 6 | -10 | 23 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | -15 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | -21 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Start | 22 | 4 | -24 | 16 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- 761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →