2. Bundesliga, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
1. FC Nürnberg — Kaiserslautern
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
1. FC Nürnberg are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings 1. FC Nürnberg are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: 1. FC Nürnberg — Kaiserslautern What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg not to lose | 72% | |
| Kaiserslautern not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap 1. FC Nürnberg
- 1. FC Nürnberg goals
- Kaiserslautern goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Wolfsburg4:4
- 19.09away · Karlsruher SC1:0
- 11.09Hannover 962:1
- 05.09away · Holstein Kiel2:2
- 29.08Arminia Bielefeld4:1
- 09.10away · FC Heidenheim0:0
- 19.09Eintracht Braunschweig1:0
- 12.09away · Magdeburg0:3
- 05.09Darmstadt3:0
- 30.08away · St. Pauli2:1
Head to head
- 21.03.20261. FC Nürnberg — Kaiserslautern3:0
- 26.10.2025Kaiserslautern — 1. FC Nürnberg1:1
- 12.04.2025Kaiserslautern — 1. FC Nürnberg1:2
- 08.11.20241. FC Nürnberg — Kaiserslautern0:0
- 18.02.20241. FC Nürnberg — Kaiserslautern1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Promotion | 1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- FC HeidenheimEnergie Cottbuspreliminary6021191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:24.5
- Hertha BSCArminia Bielefeldpreliminary4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- MagdeburgKarlsruher SCpreliminary5126241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →