Egyptian Premier League, round 6 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Borg El Arab Stadium
Abo Qir Semad — Asyut Petroleum
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In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (36%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 36% fails in about 64 matches out of 100 on average.
Abo Qir Semad are slightly stronger: 40% against 25%, draw 36%.
The model expects few goals: 1.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 17%, both teams to score — 27%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Abo Qir Semad: 4 defeats in a row; Asyut Petroleum: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abo Qir Semad — Asyut Petroleum What is xG? | 0.8–0.6 | |
| Abo Qir Semad not to lose | 75% | |
| Asyut Petroleum not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 27% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 73% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 17% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 83% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abo Qir Semad
- Abo Qir Semad goals
- Asyut Petroleum goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.09away · Al Ahly SC0:2
- 08.09away · Zamalek SC0:2
- 02.09Al Ittihad Alexandria0:2
- 27.08away · Pyramids FC0:2
- 21.08National Bank1:0
- 15.09Modern Sport FC0:2
- 07.09away · Al Ittihad Alexandria0:1
- 31.08National Bank0:1
- 26.08away · Smouha SC0:0
- 22.08Petrojet-Suez1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wadi Degla FC | 6 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Asyut Petroleum | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Al Sharkeyah-ENPPI | 6 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Abo Qir Semad | 6 | 1 | -8 | 3 |
| 19 | El Gouna FC | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
Next matches
- Al Masry SCAbo Qir Semad19 October · Egyptian Premier League5528171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Asyut PetroleumZamalek SC20 October · Egyptian Premier League2130492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:11.9
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- 5329181The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 393527XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:1.1.7
- 323137XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →