Portuguese Primeira Liga, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estádio Municipal do Fontelo
Académico Viseu — Estoril
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Académico Viseu to win (48%), came true.
Académico Viseu are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Académico Viseu are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Académico Viseu: 3 wins in a row; Estoril: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Académico Viseu — Estoril What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Académico Viseu not to lose | 76% | |
| Estoril not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Académico Viseu
- Académico Viseu goals
- Estoril goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Estrela da Amadora2:0
- 12.09Vitória de Guimarães2:1
- 06.09away · Gil Vicente1:0
- 29.08FC Porto0:3
- 22.08away · Marítimo2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Arouca | 8 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Académico Viseu | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 17, Relegation | Casa Pia AC | 8 | 1 | -14 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Estoril | 8 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Next matches
- FátimaAcadémico Viseu18 October · Taca de Portugal916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- SalgueirosEstoril18 October · Taca de Portugal1621632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
Primeira Liga on the same day
- 1122672The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:2, exactly right.2.6
- 2030492The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →