Ghana Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Aduana Stars — Berekum Chelsea
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Aduana Stars are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Aduana Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Aduana Stars — No. 6, 10 pts; Berekum Chelsea — No. 13, 7 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Aduana Stars 2 wins, Berekum Chelsea 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aduana Stars — Berekum Chelsea What is xG? | 1.4–0.6 | |
| Aduana Stars not to lose | 84% | |
| Berekum Chelsea not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Aduana Stars
- Aduana Stars goals
- Berekum Chelsea goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Young Apostles0:1
- 04.10All Blacks2:1
- 27.09away · Asante Kotoko SC2:0
- 20.09Karela United2:1
- 13.09Samartex0:1
- 11.10Debibi3:0
- 04.10away · Holy Stars0:1
- 27.09Vision FC1:1
- 20.09away · Port City1:2
- 13.09Dreams FC3:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Berekum Chelsea — Aduana Stars1:0
- 23.11.2025Aduana Stars — Berekum Chelsea3:1
- 04.05.2025Aduana Stars — Berekum Chelsea3:2
- 14.12.2024Berekum Chelsea — Aduana Stars0:0
- 13.03.2024Berekum Chelsea — Aduana Stars1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ashanti Gold | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Bechem United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Asante Kotoko SC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Berekum Chelsea | 6 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 6 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- Asante Kotoko SCMedeama SCpreliminary4228311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- DebibiHearts of Oakpreliminary313336XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.6
- Heart of LionsBechem Unitedpreliminary5724191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Holy StarsDreams FCpreliminary4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- SamartexBibiani Gold Starspreliminary5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- All BlacksAshanti Goldpreliminary5226211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Vision FCPort Citypreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Young ApostlesKarela Unitedpreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →