Ghana Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Debibi — Hearts of Oak

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Model prediction for 1 November

Debibi31%
Draw33%
Hearts of Oak36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Debibi 31%, Hearts of Oak 36%, draw 33%.

The model expects few goals: 1.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 16%, both teams to score — 24%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hearts of Oak are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Debibi — Hearts of Oak What is xG?0.7–0.7
Debibi not to lose64%
Hearts of Oak not to lose69%
No draw67%
Both teams to score: yes24%
Both teams to score: no76%
Total over 2.516%
Total under 2.584%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Debibi
  • Debibi goals
  • Hearts of Oak goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Debibi

  • 11.10away · Berekum Chelsea0:3
  • 04.10Medeama SC0:1
  • 27.09away · Ashanti Gold1:2
  • 20.09Young Apostles3:0
  • 13.09away · All Blacks0:1

Hearts of Oak

  • 11.10Port City1:0
  • 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
  • 26.09away · Karela United0:1
  • 20.09Bechem United0:0
  • 13.09away · Bibiani Gold Stars2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1Medeama SC642012–5+714
2Hearts of Oak63217–2+511
3Samartex63217–4+311
16Young Apostles62043–9-66
17Debibi61146–9-34
18Dreams FC60245–10-52

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →