Ghana Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Young Apostles — Karela United

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Model prediction for 1 November

Young Apostles48%
Draw28%
Karela United24%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Young Apostles are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Young Apostles — No. 16, 6 pts; Karela United — No. 8, 9 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Last 4 meetings: Young Apostles 2 wins, Karela United 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Young Apostles — Karela United What is xG?1.2–0.8
Young Apostles not to lose76%
Karela United not to lose52%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.533%
Total under 2.567%

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  • Handicap Young Apostles
  • Young Apostles goals
  • Karela United goals
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Form

Young Apostles

  • 11.10Aduana Stars1:0
  • 04.10away · Samartex0:1
  • 27.09Heart of Lions1:2
  • 20.09away · Debibi0:3
  • 13.09Holy Stars1:0

Karela United

  • 11.10Dreams FC1:0
  • 01.10away · Asante Kotoko SC0:1
  • 26.09Hearts of Oak1:0
  • 20.09away · Aduana Stars1:2
  • 13.09Bechem United3:1

Head to head

  • 03.05.2026Karela United — Young Apostles2:1
  • 14.12.2025Young Apostles — Karela United2:1
  • 01.06.2025Karela United — Young Apostles3:0
  • 05.01.2025Young Apostles — Karela United2:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Bechem United63128–8010
8Karela United63037–709
9Holy Stars63034–7-39
15Vision FC61328–9-16
16Young Apostles62043–9-66
17Debibi61146–9-34

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →