Turkish Super Lig, round 7 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · GAIN Park Stadium
Alanyaspor — Erzurumspor FK
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Alanyaspor to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.
Alanyaspor are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alanyaspor are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: Alanyaspor 1 win, Erzurumspor FK 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alanyaspor — Erzurumspor FK What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Alanyaspor not to lose | 85% | |
| Erzurumspor FK not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor goals
- Erzurumspor FK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 19.09away · Çorum FK2:1
- 12.09Göztepe2:2
- 07.09away · Rizespor1:0
- 30.08away · Eyüpspor1:2
- 23.08Beşiktaş1:0
- 20.09Samsunspor1:0
- 11.09away · Beşiktaş0:3
- 05.09Konyaspor1:0
- 28.08away · Gençlerbirliği1:1
- 21.08Galatasaray0:4
Head to head
- 11.05.2021Alanyaspor — Erzurumspor FK2:3
- 21.01.2021Erzurumspor FK — Alanyaspor1:1
- 10.03.2019Alanyaspor — Erzurumspor FK2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Next matches
- Erzurumspor FKEyüpspor17 October · Super Lig5729151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- FenerbahçeAlanyaspor17 October · Super Lig771671The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
Super Lig on the same day
- 2226522The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:2.3.1
- 3228402The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 2226522The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:1.3.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →