Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Anaitasuna FT — Deportivo Alavés

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Model prediction for 28 October

Anaitasuna FT5%
Draw11%
Deportivo Alavés84%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Deportivo Alavés are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo Alavés are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Deportivo Alavés: winless in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Anaitasuna FT — Deportivo Alavés What is xG?0.6–3.0
Anaitasuna FT not to lose16%
Deportivo Alavés not to lose95%
No draw89%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.570%
Total under 2.530%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Anaitasuna FT
  • Anaitasuna FT goals
  • Deportivo Alavés goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Anaitasuna FT

  • 17.12Getafe1:2

Deportivo Alavés

  • 10.10Atlético Madrid1:2
  • 19.09away · Athletic Club0:0
  • 15.09Valencia0:1
  • 12.09away · Racing Santander1:2
  • 06.09Osasuna5:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • UteboSabadellpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
  • AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →