French Ligue 2, round 9 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Annecy FC — Nancy

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Model prediction for 16 October

Annecy FC46%
Draw29%
Nancy25%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Annecy FC are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Annecy FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Annecy FC — No. 6, 13 pts; Nancy — No. 5, 13 pts.
  • Last 2 meetings: Annecy FC 1 win, Nancy 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Annecy FC — Nancy What is xG?1.4–1.1
Annecy FC not to lose75%
Nancy not to lose54%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Annecy FC
  • Annecy FC goals
  • Nancy goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Annecy FC

  • 09.10away · Dunkerque1:0
  • 18.09Dijon1:2
  • 12.09away · Guingamp1:2
  • 04.09away · Grenoble2:1
  • 29.08Metz1:1

Nancy

  • 09.10Guingamp1:0
  • 18.09away · Rodez4:3
  • 11.09Reims1:2
  • 07.09away · Nantes0:1
  • 28.08Dunkerque2:0

Head to head

  • 17.04.2026Nancy — Annecy FC1:5
  • 23.09.2025Annecy FC — Nancy1:2

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Promotion play-offsReims835015–9+614
5, Promotion play-offsNancy84139–7+213
6Annecy FC841310–9+113
7Dijon833214–12+212

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →