Serie B, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Arezzo — Benevento
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Arezzo 38%, Benevento 32%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arezzo — Benevento What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Arezzo not to lose | 68% | |
| Benevento not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Arezzo
- Arezzo goals
- Benevento goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Cremonese0:0
- 20.09Südtirol1:4
- 11.09away · Empoli1:0
- 06.09away · Hellas Verona0:5
- 30.08Palermo2:3
- 10.10Cesena2:0
- 19.09away · Carrarese1:0
- 11.09Hellas Verona3:1
- 05.09away · Ascoli0:1
- 30.08Südtirol1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Pisa | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Benevento | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
Serie B on the same day
- AvellinoPadovapreliminary5028211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- CremoneseJuve Stabiapreliminary4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Virtus EntellaMantovapreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- ModenaCesenapreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- SüdtirolSampdoriapreliminary4331251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- CatanzaroAscolipreliminary4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →