Virtus Entella — Mantova
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Virtus Entella are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Virtus Entella — Mantova What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Virtus Entella not to lose | 71% | |
| Mantova not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Virtus Entella
- Virtus Entella goals
- Mantova goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Juve Stabia1:1
- 19.09away · Cremonese0:0
- 11.09away · Pisa4:1
- 06.09LR Vicenza2:2
- 29.08Cesena1:2
- 11.10away · Catanzaro3:1
- 20.09Pisa2:2
- 13.09Sampdoria2:0
- 06.09away · Cesena1:1
- 03.09away · Palermo2:5
Head to head
- 06.04.2026Mantova — Virtus Entella1:0
- 14.09.2025Virtus Entella — Mantova1:0
Table
Serie B on the same day
- AvellinoPadovapreliminary5028211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- CremoneseJuve Stabiapreliminary4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- ModenaCesenapreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- SüdtirolSampdoriapreliminary4331251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- CatanzaroAscolipreliminary4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- ArezzoBeneventopreliminary3830321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →