Serie B, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Virtus Entella — Mantova

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Model prediction for 24 October

Virtus Entella42%
Draw29%
Mantova29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Virtus Entella are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Virtus Entella — Mantova What is xG?1.3–1.1
Virtus Entella not to lose71%
Mantova not to lose58%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Virtus Entella
  • Virtus Entella goals
  • Mantova goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Virtus Entella

  • 10.10Juve Stabia1:1
  • 19.09away · Cremonese0:0
  • 11.09away · Pisa4:1
  • 06.09LR Vicenza2:2
  • 29.08Cesena1:2

Mantova

  • 11.10away · Catanzaro3:1
  • 20.09Pisa2:2
  • 13.09Sampdoria2:0
  • 06.09away · Cesena1:1
  • 03.09away · Palermo2:5

Head to head

  • 06.04.2026Mantova — Virtus Entella1:0
  • 14.09.2025Virtus Entella — Mantova1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, PromotionPalermo651014–7+716
2, PromotionMantova642013–6+714
3, Promotion play-offsModena641111–6+513
12Arezzo62136–13-77
13Virtus Entella61328–7+16
14Cremonese61325–7-26

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • AvellinoPadovapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
  • ModenaCesenapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
  • CatanzaroAscolipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • ArezzoBeneventopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →